Have they already started counting or is this just a prediction? If they have already started counting, it's showing Biden winning by a landslide.
*Edit I think they are showing what the outcome would be if the election were held today.
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RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - 2020 Electoral College Map
It's their prediction of results if the election were held today. I have different cut-offs in how I categorize the states, but my numbers are similar. North Carolina has changed since I gave my last numbers -- I see RCP has it "neutral" while I put in the "likely Trump" category. They appear to be using the percentage of the lead as their only criterion.
I see they have Wisconsin colored gray. That makes sense depending on where their cut off is. It's true Biden doesn't have a big lead there; but he's at that magical 50% mark with Trump coming in at 43.5%. That leaves 6.5% of the voters undecided, and Trump would need them all to go his way for him to tie. I think it's quite safe to predict a Biden win there.
My numbers are solid Biden = 291 and solid Trump = 110. I have 137 leaning one way or the other. Most of those leaning towards Trump, about two to one. Trump's problem is that even if he could get all the states leaning now to Biden to vote for him as well as those leaning to him, he still wouldn't have enough to win.
He's lost a lot of support in four states he won in 2016: Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. How could Trump win Florida? The only way I can see him winning is by suppressing the vote somehow. True 6.2% of the people there are undecided; but of the people who have, 50.3% say they are going to vote for Biden while only 45.3% plan to vote for Trump. Even if all the undecideds voted for Trump, he'd still lose. RCP's map doesn't show that however since they're going by the size of the lead only. It's quite safe to color Florida blue.
It's also safe to predict that some Republican Senators will act like rats abandoning a sinking ship as they try to put distance between themselves and President Trump. It's already started with some of them expressing disagreement with him in a way they didn't when he was more popular.
This will sound wild maybe, but I wouldn't be surprised if Trump resigned saying he had health problems or something. Republicans could put the pressure on him to step aside; and he could also save face that way. It's almost for certain if he stays in, he's going to lose -- and what a blow to his ego that would be. I hope he does resign since it would calm the nation down -- some people are afraid Trump supporters will resort to violence when he loses, claiming the election was rigged, etc.