Okay. For those of you who know me, you understand I am no nerd. Science, maths, was not a strong point for me at school. Yet I do understand a few things. Like logic. And the odd glaring scam when I see it. So please, bear with me a moment as I explain. But first, you may ask me how I am so confident I am correct if my science and maths resume is so...uninspiring? Because I can read. And when something is explained to me carefully and clearly, I can understand. Particularly by a medical scientist and mathematician with letters after his name denoting Nerd.
This is about the statistics we are being spoon fed every day by the government, and which we blindly accept without argument, and which are used as the reason why our lives are being turned upside down. Please bear in mind that the following numbers pertain to Victoria Australia, however it would be a simple task for you all to use your local official figures to compute your own numbers.
Today from the health department we have the following re COVID19 for the state of Victoria...
Last 24 hours...9 new cases
Total results from tests received in last 24 hours...9,023
Total cases overall...20,220 (those recovered not taken into account so not current cases)
Total tests...2,745,516.
Note the percentage for the cases in relation to tests done. .09% in the last 24 hours, .73% overall. Okay, so far so good. Not a high percentage as you would be aware, but lets run with that.
Thus we have the basis for continuing the lockdown. We are told that this is too many cases, and a freeing up of restrictions could result in a "second wave", even though there is no evidence in support of this. The above is presented as authoritative, beyond question, scientific, and irrefutable.
And it's a lie. A scam. How so?
Because in every test for every disease, whether cancer, virus or illness of any disorder, there is a certain false positive. If your doctor reported after a cancer test was done that there is a 95% chance you were not infected, you would happily accept that right? What if the doctor said after the test, that there was a 99% certainty you were not infected, would you turn away in fear and worry for the rest of your lives? What if the doctor explained that the 1% unaccounted for was a false positive, and was typical of all tests for all diseases, and that there is never a 100% certainty of any test at any time? I think in that circumstance I would leave that doctors office fully confident I was unaffected and healthy.
So. The tests for COVID19. What is the false positive rate for that? Well, first, we are not told. Not precisely anyway. But we know there is one, officaldom has admitted as much. But somewhere under the 1% range anyway they say. Okay, that sounds reasonable we think. 1% is very minor, it doesn't really affect the overall result right?
Wrong. The question we are not asking is 1% of what? The governments and their paid lackeys would tell you its 1% of the positive cases. But that is the lie. The real false positive rate is 1% of the number of tests undertaken. And that my friends makes a huge difference. And this is worldwide, but I will just focus on Victoria. But in order to be scrupulously fair, lets make it less than 1%. Lets make it 0.5% . Half of 1%. Let us see what that figure brings us.
0.5% of the 9,023 results over the last 24 hours reveals that 4.5 of those results are false positives. How many positives did they receive altogether? 9. Conclusion? 4.5 of those 9 are false, which means only 4.5 are real cases.
So what of the overall numbers? Thus far Victoria has undertaken 2,745,516 tests as at 4/10/2022. Of those, there have been 20,220 positive results, which meant that many people were quarantined, and of those, some got so unwell that they had to be hospitalized and some sadly did die. But how many of those positive "cases" were genuine? The ones that got sick, certainly. But as a % what number of those 20,220, cases were false?
0.5% of 2,745,516 turns out to be 13,727. That is 13, 727 false positives from all the testing undertaken in Victoria. How many positives altogether with the adjustment made for the false positives...?
6,503. That is six thousand five hundred and three.
The death rate of that true positive count does sound high. It's 806 which is 12% for Victoria. Yet the death figure taken in relation to the whole population in Australia is not that large....894 deaths of the whole population is only 0.00342% !
Considering the entire justification for being locked down is based now on cases,( before it was the "curve", then deaths) I would suggest we are being scammed. Lied to. Manipulated and being sold a non existent bridge.
The current case rate for Victoria is already the target figure below 5, And the true overall percentage of positive cases to the number of tests done is only 0.24%. Do the math. What are the numbers for your place???
