By Bill Gates
| January 18, 2010
The H1N1 flu strain got a lot of attention in 2009. Most of the headlines made it sound dangerous. Early in the epidemic we thought that a very high percentage of infected people were getting sick, and it was quite scary.
But the real story isn’t how bad H1N1 was. The real story is that we are lucky it wasn’t worse because we were almost completely unprepared for it.
When an epidemic breaks out, there are four steps to try to contain it. The first is to gather data about the disease—where it is and how it is spreading. Second is to limit the movement of people from place to place—with quarantine a last option. Once a disease is widespread this is very hard to do. Third is to have drugs of some type that reduce how much someone infects others and that reduces the severity of the sickness. Fourth is to make a vaccine that is effective against the disease and give it to anyone who is at risk.
We did a reasonable job of gathering data, partly due to the capacity that had been set up to track avian flu. But for all the other steps, we didn’t manage to do anything that would have stopped a serious epidemic. In other words, the modest death toll from this flu epidemic is entirely because we were lucky.
Hopefully this outbreak will serve as a wakeup call to get us to invest in better capabilities, because more epidemics will come in the decades ahead and there is no guarantee we will be lucky next time. The 1918 flu killed more than 50 million people. Nothing other than bioterrorism could kill that many people again, and most of the things we need to do to reduce the impact of an epidemic will also reduce the impact of bioterrorism.
A better response to the next pandemic | Bill Gates
WASHINGTON—In May 2018, President Donald Trump’s biodefense preparedness adviser warned that a flu pandemic was the country’s No. 1 health security threat, and the U.S. was not prepared.
“We know that it cannot be stopped at the border,” Luciana Borio, director of medical and biodefense preparedness at the National Security Council, said at a symposium that day.
Borio left the Trump administration in 2019. Other high-level global health experts headed for the exits even earlier, after the White House dismantled the National Security Council’s global health security office.
The demise of that elite team is now under scrutiny as the Trump administration struggles to respond to the coronavirus pandemic.
Trump bristled when asked about his decision to disband the office at a news conference in the Rose Garden on Friday.
“I just think it's a nasty question,” the president responded. “And when you say ‘me,' I didn't do it. ... I don't know anything about it.”
Coronavirus: Did Trump's decision to nix pandemic team hinder response
The sad thing is, he's likely telling the truth when he says he didn't know it had been done. There's no one at the helm, much of the time.
Here is a real count of 199 countries of people who contracted COVID-19 and how many deaths have occurred to date....I went ahead and listed the top 8 countries.......click on the link to see all 199 countries.
Countries where Coronavirus has spread - Worldometer
Country Cases Deaths Region
United States 105,019 1,717 North America
Italy 86,498 9,134 Europe
China 81,394 3,295 Asia
Spain 72,248 5,690 Europe
Germany 53,340 399 Europe
Iran 35,408 2,517 Asia
France 32,964 1,995 Europe
United Kingdom 17,089 1,019 Europe
Credibility of Worldmeter was assessed by Media Bias Fact Check....
Worldometer - Media Bias/Fact Check
LEAST BIASED
These sources have minimal bias and use very few loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by using appeal to emotion or stereotypes). The reporting is factual and usually sourced. These are the most credible media sources.
See all Least Biased Sources.
- Overall, we rate Worldometer Least Biased based on strictly providing data and statistics. We also rate them High for factual reporting due to the use of official sources and clearly disclaiming that the information provided is estimates.
Detailed Report
Factual Reporting:
HIGH
Country:
China
World Press Freedom Rank:
China 177/180
History
Founded in 2004, Worldometer is a website that calculates estimated population, Coronavirus and a wide variety of statistics in real time. According to their
about page “Worldometer is run by an international team of developers, researchers, and volunteers with the goal of making world statistics available in a thought-provoking and time relevant format to a wide audience around the world.” They further state “The live counters show the real-time estimate as computed by our proprietary algorithm, which processes the latest data and projections provided by
the most reputable organizations and statistical offices in the world.”
During the Coronavirus outbreak the website was
temporarily hacked and displayed incorrect data. This was promptly fixed and is currently displaying accurate information.
Read our report on how Chinese government influences media.
Funded by / Ownership
Worldometer is owned by
Dadax, a software solutions company based in Pudong, Shanghai. Revenue is derived through advertising.
Analysis / Bias
In review, Worldometer provides data on a wide variety of topics such as population, public health expenditures, amount of forest lost this year, amount of oil used and tracking statistics related to the Coronavirus. Data, estimates, and projections displayed on Worldometer’s counters are for the most part provided by credible organizations such as the
United Nations, Statistics Division,
United Nations Population Fund (UNFPa ),
UNESCO Institute for Statistics and the
World Health Organization (WHO). For a full list see
here. In general, the information provided on the website are estimates and they carefully provide a disclaimer that states: “As with any statistic, the numbers are not expected to be exact to the single digit, but to provide a fairly accurate and informative description of a phenomenon. This inherited limitation must be taken into account for the correct interpretation of the information.”
Worldometer simply collects data, provides estimates and does not editorialize content, therefore we rate them least biased.
Failed Fact Checks
Overall, we rate Worldometer Least Biased based on strictly providing data and statistics. We also rate them High for factual reporting due to the use of official sources and clearly disclaiming that the information provided is estimates. (D. Van Zandt 3/19/2020)